前言

1 理念与意义 ···································································· 1

1.1 发展现状 ································································· 2

1.2 概念与内涵 ······························································ 6

1.3 重大意义 ································································· 7

1.4 新型电气化与新型电力系统 ······································· 11

2 关键技术 ····································································· 13

2.1 电气化交通 ···························································· 14

2.2 电制热（冷） ························································· 36

2.3 电照明 ·································································· 47

2.4 数字基础设施用电 ··················································· 48

2.5 电冶金 ·································································· 53

2.6 氢冶金 ·································································· 54

2.7 电化工 ·································································· 55

2.8 电烘干 ·································································· 58

2.9 小结 ····································································· 61

3 潜力与路径 ·································································· 63

3.1 电气化潜力评估模型 ················································ 643.2 交通领域 ······························································· 75

3.3 居民与商业领域 ······················································ 83

3.4 工业领域 ······························································· 92

3.5 农林牧渔领域 ························································ 117

3.6 全社会电气化路径 ················································· 121

4 系统灵活性贡献 ························································· 127

4.1 模型框架 ····························································· 128

4.2 分领域灵活性 ······················································· 147

4.3 综合灵活性分析 ···················································· 168

5 政策与机制 ································································ 173

5.1 政策建议 ····························································· 174

5.2 市场机制 ····························································· 181

5.3 新业态新模式 ······················································· 185

5.4 投融资机制 ·························································· 186

5.5 小结 ··································································· 188

结语 ················································································ 190